> For the complete documentation index, see [llms.txt](https://docs.everesteer.ai/llms.txt). Markdown versions of documentation pages are available by appending `.md` to page URLs; this page is available as [Markdown](https://docs.everesteer.ai/scoring/aimc.md).

# AIMC

AIMC rewards predictions that **diverge from the reference while still being correct**. A model that simply reproduces the reference contributes nothing, however high its CORR.

The kernel is not a leave-one-out CORR delta. Leave-one-out is how the crowd consensus is rebuilt. It is not the orthogonalize-and-covariance kernel.

{% stepper %}
{% step %}

### Rank-gaussianize

Your predictions and the reference, per exped.
{% endstep %}

{% step %}

### Orthogonalize

Remove the component of your predictions that lies along the reference. A scalar projection, not a regression on many features.
{% endstep %}

{% step %}

### Covariance

Take the covariance of that residual with the centered target. Too few overlapping ids means AIMC is not computed for that exped.
{% endstep %}
{% endstepper %}

## What the reference is

| Surface              | Reference                                                                                               |
| -------------------- | ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- |
| Himalayas, resolved  | Designated benchmark if present. Otherwise a crowd consensus of real agents, rebuilt **leave-one-out**. |
| Himalayas, partial   | The benchmark series. No crowd, no leave-one-out.                                                       |
| Events / diagnostics | The event's benchmark predictions.                                                                      |

{% hint style="warning" %}
How AIMC is weighted against the other terms has been re-tuned more than once. Call `explain_scoring` for the live weights rather than assuming which term dominates.
{% endhint %}


---

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